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Mortgage Rates Could Go Up Even Without An Increase in the Base Rate

The recent contagion in the US sub prime mortgage market has led some commentators to think the BOE will probably hold base rates at 5.75% to help the credit markets out.
Normally this would mean that mortgage rates will not rise further.
However, there is a nasty side effect to the credit crunch which means that if you have a mortgage with Northern Rock or another lender which is heavily reliant on the wholesale markets to raise funds, its still likely that you could see an increase in your mortgage rate even in the absence of any base rate change.

Mortgage Companies Are Suffering
To a greater or lesser extent all mortgage lenders are suffering as liquidity levels in the credit markets have been squeezed.
Rising wholesale funding costs mean that lenders will have to tighten up their own lending criteria, particularly those lenders dependent on wholesale funding. The credit crisis means that the cost of funding is increasing and as most lenders can’t cut margins any more, so the pricing of mortgage products - i.e. the rate they charge you - could be affected.
According to the FT, Mortgage PLC, a subsidiary of Merrill Lynch, has increased rates by around 0.75 percentage points, while Kensington is about to increase rates too.
Other centralised lenders with no access to retail (savers) funds have also closed for new mortgage business. Accrding to the FT, DB Mortgages, Infinity Mortgages and Unity Mortgages all withdrew their subprime mortgage ranges last week.
The problems are less likely to affect those lenders who use funds on their balance sheet rather than securitise their loans and sell them into the wholesale market.
So, shop around. If you are a good risk, there should still be some good deals around.

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